Published Articles (2024)
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2024
December
- 2024-12-21: The Best of 2024 (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-21: Riskgaming: Best of 2024 (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-14: Powering Up: China’s Global Quest for Electric Vehicle Dominance (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-14: Introducing our new scenario, “Powering Up” (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-14: Riskgaming: Launching “Powering Up” on China EVs (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-07: Riskgaming: Tail Risks (Lux Capital)
- 2024-12-06: Why does America have the most expensive elevators in the world? (Lux Capital)
November
- 2024-11-27: The Titanic Lessons of VC with Josh Wolfe (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-23: Riskgaming: DeepSeek, Northvolt and Bitcoin (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-21: The Orthogonal Bet: Dave Jilk on AI, Poetry, and the Future of AGI (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-18: Elections, global threats and happy hour with the Riskgaming team (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-16: Riskgaming: Pragmatic Powers (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-15: The future of defense manufacturing with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-14: The Orthogonal Bet: Embracing Second Acts (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-09: Riskgaming: What’s Next? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-08: The energy economics of our civilization’s digital cathedrals (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-06: The Orthogonal Bet: How deep science ventures redefines deep tech innovation (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-02: Riskgaming: Introducing our new scenario, DeepFaked and DeepSixed (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-02: DeepFaked and DeepSixed: AI Election Security and the Future of Democracy (Lux Capital)
- 2024-11-02: Introducing our new scenario, DeepFaked and DeepSixed (Lux Capital)
October
- 2024-10-30: The Orthogonal Bet: Exploring the history of intelligence (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-26: Riskgaming: Fixing American Science (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-25: Previewing our upcoming Riskgaming scenario, “Powering Up: China’s Global Quest for Electric Vehicle Dominance” (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-23: The Orthogonal Bet: The role of complexity in world-building (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-19: Riskgaming: The Power of Games (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-18: The dangers of our rapidly narrowing understanding of China (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-16: The Orthogonal Bet: The Wonders of Graph Paper and Algorithmic Art (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-12: Riskgaming: Introducing Laurence Pevsner (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-11: Even with China’s rise, America’s best days are ahead (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-10: The Orthogonal Bet: Complex economics is applying complex systems methods (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-05: Riskgaming: The Future of AI (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-02: The Orthogonal Bet: Artificial Life and Robotic Evolution (Lux Capital)
- 2024-10-01: From Satellites to Submarines: The Power of Open Source Intelligence in Global Conflict (Lux Capital)
September
- 2024-09-28: Riskgaming: Soft and Hard Landings (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-27: Josh Wolfe: Our new world order is one where algorithms can wield as much influence as armies (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-25: The Orthogonal Bet: From Online Communities to In-Person Programming (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-21: The how and why of the most successful supply-chain attack in history (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-21: Riskgaming: “Founder Mode” is really Survivor Mode (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-18: The Orthogonal Bet: The Art of Naming (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-17: United States of Algorithms (City Journal)
- 2024-09-16: AI is spiking chip design costs – can it solve them too? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-14: Riskgaming: The Productivity Precipice (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-12: The Orthogonal Bet: How to Navigate Complexity Within a Large Organization (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-07: Riskgaming: A Xenotransplantation Future (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-06: Silicon Valley’s secret industrial spy war (Lux Capital)
- 2024-09-05: The Orthogonal Bet: Bio Trajectories and the Importance of Long-Term Thinking (Lux Capital)
August
- 2024-08-31: Riskgaming: Lux LP Letter (Q2 of 2024) (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-30: How games, god(s) and chance transformed human decision-making (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-29: The Orthogonal Bet: The Harsh Realities of the Soviet Space Program (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-24: Riskgaming: The Broken Leg Problem of VC (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-23: The Orthogonal Bet: Understanding Embodied Intelligence (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-21: Radical Uncertainty, Rapid Learning and the Success Equation for Catching Up (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-17: Riskgaming: Hacking Priomoridal Soups (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-16: The Orthogonal Bet: The Quest to Build the Fruitful Web (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-15: Industrial literacy and the fate of American progress (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-10: Riskgaming: Chaos, Chaos on the Wall… (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-09: The Orthogonal Bet: The Art of Cultivating Curiosity (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-08: Why engineers are using chaos to make computers more resilient (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-03: Riskgaming: The looming labor crisis in chip design (Lux Capital)
- 2024-08-02: The Orthogonal Bet: Building a Fractal Combinatorial Trope Machine (Lux Capital)
July
- 2024-07-31: How many trillions in damage would an invasion of Taiwan cost global GDP? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-27: Riskgaming: Driving through China (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-26: The Orthogonal Bet: Using Computational Biology to Understand How the Brain Works (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-24: Evolved Technology: Why technology is counter-intuitively pushing us back to natural products in pharma development (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-20: Riskgaming: The British Invasion Edition (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-19: The Orthogonal Bet: What the Microsoft Outage Reveals (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-19: The Orthogonal Bet: The Quest to Find the Poetic Web (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-17: Pivoting to the Expert Economy (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-13: Riskgaming: America’s mollycoddled industries (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-12: The Orthogonal Bet: What AI Can Learn from Human Cognition (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-10: Can we be optimistic about America’s future? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-06: Riskgaming: America’s 248th (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-05: The Orthogonal Bet: Unveiling the Complexity of Life: A Conversation with Philip Ball on ‘How Life Works' (Lux Capital)
- 2024-07-03: “The commons are under attack” from TikTok and subsea cables to data centers and elections (Lux Capital)
June
- 2024-06-29: Riskgaming: America’s reindustrialization dilemma (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-28: The Orthogonal Bet: How to fund R&D that is for the public good? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-25: Is AI killing journalism? Pitchforks, Perplexity and reporters yelling “Boo!” (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-22: Riskgaming: Protecting America’s Economic Security (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-21: The Orthogonal Bet: SimCity, Maxis and the ambitious modeling of everything (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-15: Riskgaming: AI and the Death of Human Languages (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-14: Why high-throughput bio research needs better tools immediately (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-08: Riskgaming: The closing door to global tech riches (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-07: The Orthogonal Bet: Novelist Robin Sloan’s Love for Books with Maps on the First Page (Lux Capital)
- 2024-06-01: Riskgaming: Remains of the Day (June 1, 2024) (Lux Capital)
May
- 2024-05-31: How Applied Intuition used the Valley’s hardest lessons to upgrade automotive with autonomy (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-24: Orthogonal Bet: A technology vibe shift from utopian Star Trek to absurdist Douglas Adams? (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-18: Riskgaming: Strait to Taiwan (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-17: The soon-to-be-solved protein problem that will accelerate drug discovery (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-11: Riskgaming: Napa Nights (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-04: Riskgaming: Sacrifice and the Future of America (Lux Capital)
- 2024-05-03: Margaret Mead and the psychedelic community that theorized AI (Lux Capital)
April
- 2024-04-27: Riskgaming: The Great Talent Dividend and NYC’s AI Opportunity (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-26: The nightmare specter of designer bioweapons and the people trying to stop them (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-20: Riskgaming: Launching Lux Capital’s boldest initiative yet (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-20: Hampton at the Cross-Roads (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-16: Lux and the Art of Startup Maintenance (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-13: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Pacific Stratagems (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-12: The Zone of Totality with Sam Arbesman (Lux Capital)
- 2024-04-06: “Securities” by Lux Capital: brAIn drAIn (Lux Capital)
March
- 2024-03-30: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Information Combustion (Lux Capital)
- 2024-03-23: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Democratizing WMD (Lux Capital)
- 2024-03-16: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Sigma Narratives (Lux Capital)
- 2024-03-15: Biology is becoming engineering and not just science (Lux Capital)
- 2024-03-08: “Securities” by Lux Capital: TikTok Tantrum (Lux Capital)
- 2024-03-07: The three revolutions in astrobiology and the search for extraterrestrial life (Lux Capital)
February
- 2024-02-24: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Pivotal Pivots (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-21: “I am basically a cosmic Fluke” and the chaos of science, policy, and human narratives (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-17: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Sakana, Subways, and Share Buybacks (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-14: How an anonymous blog during the neural network winter led to Japan’s national AI champion (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-10: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Impoverished Valuations (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-08: The most wasteful infrastructure megaproject that wasn’t (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-03: “Securities” by Lux Capital: TechCrunch+ Termination (Lux Capital)
- 2024-02-02: The stove hasn’t changed in decades. It’s time to upgrade. (Lux Capital)
January
- 2024-01-27: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Human Martians (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-24: Astronauts all lie, but the biggest lie is that we will colonize Mars (Zach Weinersmith, Part 1 of 2) (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-24: Why a Mars settlement could never be a libertarian paradise (Zach Weinersmith, Part 2 of 2) (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-20: “Securities” by Lux Capital: DC, Japan, and Space (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-18: DC to Silicon Valley: Drop Dead (City Journal)
- 2024-01-17: How Impulse Space’s Helios will democratize access to Earth’s farthest orbits (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-16: Why Tokyo’s Sakana AI is pioneering a new vanguard of national AI foundation models (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-13: “Securities” by Lux Capital: MLK Jr. Memorial (Lux Capital)
- 2024-01-06: “Securities” by Lux Capital: Hochul Hokum (Lux Capital)